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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.70+7.16vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.07+4.54vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.40+6.46vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.69+3.93vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.06+5.56vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.55+2.55vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.30+2.63vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.11-1.80vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.41+0.20vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+2.02vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University1.86+0.69vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.12-5.43vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University1.65-0.85vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.16-4.02vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.04-4.29vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-5.53vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-6.65vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.98-7.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.16Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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6.54Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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9.46U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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7.93Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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10.56University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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8.55Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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9.63Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.2Stanford University3.110.1%1st Place
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9.2Brown University2.410.0%1st Place
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12.02St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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11.69Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
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6.57Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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12.15Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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9.98Tulane University2.160.0%1st Place
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10.71College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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10.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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10.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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10.84Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.6% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Bridget Green | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% |
| Sofia Segalla | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% |
| Sarah Young | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% |
| Hannah Freeman | 11.8% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Bayless | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 14.2% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 12.6% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Emily Allen | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 15.7% |
| Caroline Benson | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% |
| Emma Snead | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 5.6% |
| Chloe Holder | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.