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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.11+5.50vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.06+8.96vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.69+5.20vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.07+2.40vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.30+4.59vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.12+0.27vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+3.17vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.16+2.14vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.40+0.15vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University1.65+2.53vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.04-0.11vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-1.18vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-1.45vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.55-5.70vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.41-5.90vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.70-8.03vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.98-5.86vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University1.86-6.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.5Stanford University3.110.1%1st Place
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10.96University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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8.2Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.4Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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9.59Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.27Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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10.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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10.14Tulane University2.160.0%1st Place
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9.15U. S. Naval Academy2.400.0%1st Place
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12.53Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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10.89College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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10.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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11.55St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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8.3Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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9.1Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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7.97Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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11.14Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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11.32Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 9.6% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Sofia Segalla | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% |
| Bridget Green | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% |
| Caroline Benson | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% |
| Emily Allen | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 18.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% |
| Emma Snead | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 12.4% |
| Sarah Young | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Caroline Bayless | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Chloe Holder | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 9.1% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.