← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University2.69+6.93vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.12+4.19vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University3.11+3.26vs Predicted
-
4University of Pennsylvania2.06+6.27vs Predicted
-
5Brown University2.41+3.85vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University2.30+3.37vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College2.55+1.30vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College2.70-0.40vs Predicted
-
9Georgetown University1.86+2.22vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+0.14vs Predicted
-
11Tulane University2.16-0.93vs Predicted
-
12Jacksonville University1.65+0.34vs Predicted
-
13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-1.72vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-4.19vs Predicted
-
15Boston College3.07-8.89vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Naval Academy2.40-7.05vs Predicted
-
17College of Charleston1.40-3.89vs Predicted
-
18Tufts University1.28-4.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.93Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
-
6.19Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
-
6.26Stanford University3.110.1%1st Place
-
10.27University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
-
8.85Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
-
9.37Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
-
8.3Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
-
7.6Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
-
11.22Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
-
10.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
-
10.07Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
-
12.34Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
-
11.28St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
-
9.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
-
6.11Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
-
8.95U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
-
13.11College of Charleston1.400.0%1st Place
-
13.2Tufts University1.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Freeman | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% |
| Caroline Bayless | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% |
| Sarah Young | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% |
| Emily Allen | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 14.3% | 13.7% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% |
| Emma Snead | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 15.3% | 19.4% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 20.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.