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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.72+2.18vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii3.68+1.30vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine3.43+0.79vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy2.25+2.32vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles2.63+0.42vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.64-0.59vs Predicted
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7Santa Clara University2.36-0.90vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley2.12-2.39vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.64-2.41vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego1.78-3.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.18Stanford University3.720.2%1st Place
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3.3University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
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3.79University of California at Irvine3.430.2%1st Place
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6.32California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.0%1st Place
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5.42University of California at Los Angeles2.630.1%1st Place
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5.41University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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6.1Santa Clara University2.360.0%1st Place
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6.61University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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7.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.640.0%1st Place
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7.27University of California at San Diego1.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Toole | 24.9% | 20.8% | 17.7% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Adam Pokras | 22.7% | 21.0% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Rex Cameron | 16.9% | 16.2% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 3.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 10.5% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 4.2% |
| Lindsay Grove | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 9.1% |
| Travis Benton | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 16.5% | 14.9% | 14.3% |
| Erik Lund | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 20.1% | 29.4% |
| Alicia Bernhard | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 17.6% | 26.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.