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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Oliver Toole 24.9% 20.8% 17.7% 11.4% 10.6% 6.8% 4.5% 2.4% 0.6% 0.3%
Adam Pokras 22.7% 21.0% 15.6% 13.6% 11.9% 6.8% 4.7% 2.8% 0.7% 0.2%
Rex Cameron 16.9% 16.2% 16.2% 14.6% 14.1% 9.8% 6.6% 3.6% 1.9% 0.1%
Matthew Van Rensselaer 3.6% 6.2% 8.1% 9.0% 9.3% 11.1% 14.2% 13.9% 14.1% 10.5%
Oscar Jasklowski 8.6% 8.5% 9.6% 10.6% 11.1% 13.9% 14.1% 10.2% 7.5% 5.9%
Cameron Hutcheson 8.3% 8.8% 8.5% 13.1% 12.1% 11.7% 11.2% 12.5% 9.6% 4.2%
Lindsay Grove 4.7% 6.3% 8.5% 8.9% 11.6% 12.4% 12.9% 12.6% 13.0% 9.1%
Travis Benton 4.6% 4.8% 6.0% 8.8% 7.9% 10.0% 12.2% 16.5% 14.9% 14.3%
Erik Lund 2.8% 2.9% 4.3% 4.7% 4.9% 9.3% 9.1% 12.5% 20.1% 29.4%
Alicia Bernhard 2.9% 4.5% 5.5% 5.3% 6.5% 8.2% 10.5% 13.0% 17.6% 26.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.