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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.99+5.26vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.25+3.16vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.10+4.07vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.55+4.02vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+4.80vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.13+3.17vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.09-1.50vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.17-2.24vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.97-2.39vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.01-0.71vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.99-1.85vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.48-0.40vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University0.49-1.75vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.22-5.52vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.93-5.27vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-0.22-2.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.26Brown University1.9910.1%1st Place
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5.16Yale University2.2513.8%1st Place
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7.07Dartmouth College2.107.3%1st Place
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8.02Brown University1.556.3%1st Place
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9.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.0%1st Place
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9.17Bowdoin College1.134.5%1st Place
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5.5Boston College2.0911.7%1st Place
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5.76Harvard University2.1711.7%1st Place
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6.61Roger Williams University1.978.3%1st Place
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9.29Tufts University1.014.3%1st Place
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9.15University of Rhode Island0.994.8%1st Place
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11.6University of Vermont0.481.7%1st Place
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11.25Roger Williams University0.492.7%1st Place
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8.48Northeastern University1.225.1%1st Place
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9.73Tufts University0.933.5%1st Place
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13.15University of New Hampshire-0.221.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharine Doble | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 13.8% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Emily Mueller | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 5.5% |
| Rebecca Schill | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 3.9% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 11.7% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 11.7% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 4.5% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 17.1% | 16.7% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 14.8% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 5.8% |
| Marykate Hanus | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 15.2% | 40.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.