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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.11+5.32vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+4.16vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.07+3.37vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.41+4.79vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.86+6.08vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+5.46vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.06+3.29vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.69-0.36vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University1.65+3.06vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.16+0.24vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.40-1.93vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.55-3.33vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-2.96vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.30-5.02vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.28-1.67vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.70-8.31vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston1.40-3.90vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-8.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.32Stanford University3.110.1%1st Place
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6.16Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.37Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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8.79Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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11.08Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
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11.46St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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10.29University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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7.64Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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12.06Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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10.24Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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9.07U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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8.67Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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10.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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8.98Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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13.33Tufts University1.280.0%1st Place
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7.69Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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13.1College of Charleston1.400.0%1st Place
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9.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Bayless | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.1% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.4% |
| Bridget Green | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Emily Allen | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 10.6% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% |
| Sarah Young | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Emma Snead | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 22.9% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 20.7% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.