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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.07+5.50vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+4.27vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.04+7.86vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.69+3.74vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.70+2.72vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.16+4.07vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.06+3.46vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.41+0.93vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.30+0.47vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.11-3.57vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-0.81vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.55-3.19vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-2.86vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.28-0.76vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.40-5.99vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University1.65-3.72vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-5.27vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University1.86-6.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.5Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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6.27Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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10.86College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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7.74Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.72Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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10.07Tulane University2.160.0%1st Place
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10.46University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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8.93Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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9.47Harvard University2.300.0%1st Place
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6.43Stanford University3.110.1%1st Place
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10.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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8.81Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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10.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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13.24Tufts University1.280.0%1st Place
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9.01U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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12.28Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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11.73St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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11.15Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.0% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Emma Tallman | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% |
| Bridget Green | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Caroline Benson | 4.7% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% |
| Sofia Segalla | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% |
| Caroline Bayless | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% |
| Sarah Burn | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% |
| Hannah Freeman | 11.5% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% |
| Sarah Young | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% |
| Emma Snead | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 24.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Emily Allen | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 13.8% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 12.3% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.