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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+5.39vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.07+4.46vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.30+6.72vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+7.35vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.69+2.80vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.40+3.10vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.86+4.34vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+2.18vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.11-2.92vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.16+0.39vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.06-0.38vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-1.58vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.70-5.38vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.55-5.84vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University1.65-2.84vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.28-2.38vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.41-7.82vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston2.04-7.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.39Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.46Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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9.72Harvard University2.300.0%1st Place
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11.35St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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7.8Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.1U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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11.34Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
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10.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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6.08Stanford University3.110.1%1st Place
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10.39Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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10.62University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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10.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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7.62Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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8.16Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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12.16Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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13.62Tufts University1.280.0%1st Place
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9.18Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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10.42College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 9.8% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 10.6% |
| Bridget Green | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.5% |
| Emma Snead | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% |
| Hannah Freeman | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Young | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Emily Allen | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 12.7% | 14.0% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 27.0% |
| Caroline Bayless | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Emma Tallman | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.