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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.11+4.61vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.69+5.22vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.06+6.78vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.70+3.33vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+4.44vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+3.56vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.12-1.25vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.16+1.25vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.55-0.92vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.07-4.14vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University1.86-0.32vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-1.21vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.40-4.38vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University1.03-0.50vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.28-6.08vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston2.04-6.06vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.28-4.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.61Stanford University3.110.1%1st Place
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7.22Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.78University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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7.33Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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9.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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9.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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5.75Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.25Tulane University2.160.0%1st Place
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8.08Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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5.86Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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10.68Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
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10.79St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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8.62U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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13.5Jacksonville University1.030.0%1st Place
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8.92Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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9.94College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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12.68Tufts University1.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 13.9% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Green | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 4.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Emma Snead | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.2% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 11.1% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Benson | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.4% |
| Sarah Young | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 11.2% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.3% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 7.6% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% |
| Maartje van Dam | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 14.6% | 32.7% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Emma Tallman | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 15.7% | 22.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.