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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University0.23+0.85vs Predicted
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2University of Toledo-0.85+0.96vs Predicted
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3Miami University-1.07+0.23vs Predicted
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4Cleveland State University-2.26+0.37vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.50-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.85Michigan State University0.230.5%1st Place
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2.96University of Toledo-0.850.1%1st Place
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3.23Miami University-1.070.1%1st Place
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4.37Cleveland State University-2.260.0%1st Place
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2.6Purdue University-0.500.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Koerschner | 47.9% | 28.9% | 15.1% | 6.6% | 1.5% |
| Iain McSweeney | 13.8% | 22.9% | 27.0% | 26.0% | 10.3% |
| Margaret Swasey | 13.2% | 16.2% | 21.9% | 32.1% | 16.6% |
| Joe Kenealy | 2.9% | 5.3% | 9.4% | 16.9% | 65.5% |
| Nok In Chan | 22.2% | 26.7% | 26.6% | 18.4% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.