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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University0.23+0.70vs Predicted
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2University of Toledo-0.85+0.70vs Predicted
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3Cleveland State University-2.26+1.04vs Predicted
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4Miami University-2.37+0.18vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.50-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.7Michigan State University0.230.5%1st Place
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2.7University of Toledo-0.850.2%1st Place
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4.04Cleveland State University-2.260.0%1st Place
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4.18Miami University-2.370.0%1st Place
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2.38Purdue University-0.500.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Koerschner | 53.5% | 27.9% | 13.9% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
| Iain McSweeney | 15.3% | 27.4% | 34.2% | 18.0% | 5.1% |
| Joe Kenealy | 4.1% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 34.8% | 42.0% |
| Alexandra Knauer | 2.7% | 5.8% | 11.7% | 30.1% | 49.7% |
| Nok In Chan | 24.4% | 31.8% | 28.2% | 12.9% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.