← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Michigan State University0.23+0.73vs Predicted
-
2University of Toledo-0.85+0.70vs Predicted
-
3Purdue University-0.50-0.66vs Predicted
-
4Miami University-2.37+0.17vs Predicted
-
5Cleveland State University-2.26-0.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.73Michigan State University0.230.5%1st Place
-
2.7University of Toledo-0.850.2%1st Place
-
2.34Purdue University-0.500.2%1st Place
-
4.17Miami University-2.370.0%1st Place
-
4.05Cleveland State University-2.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Koerschner | 53.4% | 26.4% | 15.0% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
| Iain McSweeney | 15.5% | 26.0% | 35.5% | 18.6% | 4.4% |
| Nok In Chan | 23.9% | 34.6% | 27.0% | 12.5% | 2.0% |
| Alexandra Knauer | 2.7% | 6.0% | 10.8% | 32.3% | 48.2% |
| Joe Kenealy | 4.5% | 7.0% | 11.7% | 32.2% | 44.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.