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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.99+5.18vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.10+4.97vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+6.85vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.25+1.12vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.55+2.86vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.17-0.19vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.99+2.25vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.97-1.35vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.22-0.49vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.48+1.44vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.93-1.21vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.09-6.47vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.01-3.55vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.13-5.00vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University0.49-3.68vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-0.22-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.18Brown University1.9910.7%1st Place
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6.97Dartmouth College2.107.9%1st Place
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9.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.854.2%1st Place
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5.12Yale University2.2513.2%1st Place
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7.86Brown University1.555.9%1st Place
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5.81Harvard University2.1711.1%1st Place
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9.25University of Rhode Island0.994.2%1st Place
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6.65Roger Williams University1.978.6%1st Place
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8.51Northeastern University1.224.9%1st Place
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11.44University of Vermont0.482.2%1st Place
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9.79Tufts University0.933.1%1st Place
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5.53Boston College2.0911.8%1st Place
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9.45Tufts University1.014.4%1st Place
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9.0Bowdoin College1.134.7%1st Place
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11.32Roger Williams University0.492.1%1st Place
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13.28University of New Hampshire-0.221.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharine Doble | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Young | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.2% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 13.2% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emily Mueller | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 3.9% |
| Lucy Meagher | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 15.8% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 5.2% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 11.8% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 4.2% |
| Rebecca Schill | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 2.9% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 14.9% | 15.3% |
| Marykate Hanus | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 16.3% | 40.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.