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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Miami University-1.07+2.21vs Predicted
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2Purdue University-0.50+0.58vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University0.23-1.14vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo-0.85-1.02vs Predicted
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5Cleveland State University-2.26-0.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21Miami University-1.070.1%1st Place
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2.58Purdue University-0.500.2%1st Place
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1.86Michigan State University0.230.5%1st Place
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2.98University of Toledo-0.850.1%1st Place
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4.37Cleveland State University-2.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margaret Swasey | 12.5% | 16.7% | 24.2% | 30.0% | 16.6% |
| Nok In Chan | 21.3% | 28.2% | 26.4% | 18.9% | 5.2% |
| Luke Koerschner | 48.6% | 26.0% | 17.7% | 6.4% | 1.3% |
| Iain McSweeney | 14.7% | 23.4% | 22.7% | 28.1% | 11.1% |
| Joe Kenealy | 2.9% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 16.6% | 65.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.