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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University0.23+0.89vs Predicted
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2Purdue University-0.50+0.57vs Predicted
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3Miami University-1.07+0.19vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo-0.85-1.00vs Predicted
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5Cleveland State University-2.26-0.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.89Michigan State University0.230.5%1st Place
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2.57Purdue University-0.500.2%1st Place
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3.19Miami University-1.070.1%1st Place
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3.0University of Toledo-0.850.2%1st Place
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4.35Cleveland State University-2.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Koerschner | 46.8% | 28.1% | 16.4% | 7.1% | 1.6% |
| Nok In Chan | 21.5% | 29.5% | 24.0% | 20.2% | 4.8% |
| Margaret Swasey | 12.7% | 16.1% | 24.6% | 32.3% | 14.3% |
| Iain McSweeney | 15.6% | 19.8% | 26.3% | 26.0% | 12.3% |
| Joe Kenealy | 3.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 14.4% | 67.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.