Race 2A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Nathan Sih 7.9% 8.1% 8.2% 8.2% 8.4% 6.8% 8.4% 7.0% 6.2% 5.7% 5.5% 3.8% 5.0% 4.0% 3.3% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
William Bedford 4.3% 4.6% 5.8% 4.9% 6.6% 7.0% 6.0% 5.9% 6.9% 7.0% 7.6% 7.4% 5.4% 6.6% 5.5% 3.8% 3.5% 1.2%
Mason Stang 9.9% 10.0% 10.3% 7.8% 10.4% 9.1% 7.6% 6.0% 5.5% 6.5% 5.3% 4.0% 3.5% 1.9% 1.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.1%
Leyton Borcherding 7.8% 9.8% 8.4% 7.2% 6.3% 7.3% 6.8% 7.6% 5.1% 7.4% 4.8% 5.4% 4.3% 4.3% 3.3% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
Mateo Farina 11.6% 13.5% 10.0% 9.6% 8.2% 8.4% 6.4% 6.4% 5.4% 4.3% 5.0% 2.7% 2.9% 3.0% 1.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%
Connor Macken 4.3% 3.6% 4.6% 5.1% 5.3% 4.9% 5.7% 5.3% 6.9% 6.1% 6.3% 6.6% 6.8% 5.4% 6.9% 6.7% 5.3% 4.2%
Liam Gronda 2.5% 1.0% 1.8% 1.8% 1.4% 2.3% 2.5% 2.8% 3.8% 3.3% 2.6% 4.0% 4.3% 5.2% 6.6% 12.0% 15.9% 26.2%
Griffin Lapham 1.9% 2.6% 2.3% 1.9% 2.8% 2.9% 2.3% 3.1% 3.8% 3.1% 4.3% 6.2% 4.4% 5.4% 7.7% 11.6% 16.1% 17.6%
William George 3.9% 4.2% 4.5% 5.4% 5.1% 4.7% 6.1% 5.2% 6.8% 5.0% 6.6% 6.4% 7.8% 7.1% 7.6% 5.4% 6.1% 2.1%
Bryan Trammell 7.0% 5.1% 6.1% 6.1% 5.8% 4.7% 7.4% 7.7% 6.7% 7.1% 7.6% 6.2% 5.3% 4.4% 5.5% 4.0% 2.5% 0.8%
Connor Rosow 6.0% 6.1% 5.5% 6.3% 5.8% 5.3% 6.5% 6.8% 5.8% 6.7% 7.2% 6.0% 6.2% 6.4% 5.3% 2.9% 3.4% 1.8%
bella casaretto 8.7% 9.0% 8.2% 7.5% 7.0% 7.1% 7.4% 7.1% 5.8% 6.1% 6.0% 5.1% 5.4% 2.9% 3.7% 1.9% 0.9% 0.2%
Nicholas Hurley 4.4% 4.4% 3.8% 5.7% 5.1% 5.0% 5.6% 5.9% 6.6% 5.1% 5.1% 7.1% 6.6% 7.2% 6.5% 8.0% 4.9% 3.0%
Alex Adams 5.2% 4.9% 5.9% 6.9% 6.4% 6.2% 5.0% 5.0% 5.2% 5.6% 5.5% 6.6% 7.4% 7.1% 6.4% 4.1% 4.4% 2.2%
Connor Vogel 1.7% 1.5% 1.7% 2.3% 1.9% 2.5% 1.9% 2.9% 3.7% 3.6% 3.1% 4.2% 5.5% 7.1% 8.9% 10.5% 14.5% 22.5%
Aili Moffet 2.3% 1.9% 2.3% 2.9% 2.9% 2.8% 4.0% 3.5% 3.9% 5.6% 4.3% 7.1% 5.7% 8.5% 7.7% 10.2% 12.2% 12.2%
Matthew Wallace 4.6% 3.9% 5.4% 4.8% 4.0% 4.5% 4.4% 6.4% 5.1% 6.3% 6.0% 5.9% 6.2% 8.0% 7.4% 8.0% 5.7% 3.4%
Clark Morris 6.0% 5.8% 5.2% 5.6% 6.6% 8.5% 6.0% 5.4% 6.8% 5.5% 7.2% 5.3% 7.3% 5.5% 4.7% 4.7% 2.2% 1.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.