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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.79+8.62vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.08+6.52vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.39+4.26vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.69+1.90vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.95+3.71vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.43+0.86vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.69+2.95vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College0.86+5.02vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.29-1.59vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.66+0.30vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.66+2.91vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.63-5.56vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.69-3.24vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.11-2.05vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College0.72-1.36vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.98-7.26vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College1.64-6.73vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.93-9.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.62Yale University1.790.0%1st Place
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8.52Tufts University2.080.1%1st Place
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7.26Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
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5.9Yale University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.71Connecticut College1.950.1%1st Place
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6.86Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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9.95Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
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13.02Dartmouth College0.860.0%1st Place
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7.41Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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10.3Tufts University1.660.0%1st Place
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13.91Connecticut College0.660.0%1st Place
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6.44Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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9.76Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
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11.95Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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13.64Dartmouth College0.720.0%1st Place
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8.74Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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10.27Dartmouth College1.640.0%1st Place
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8.75Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Adams | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Bryan Trammell | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Nathan Sih | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Mateo Farina | 11.3% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| William Bedford | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| bella casaretto | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| William George | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Griffin Lapham | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 17.4% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Wallace | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.3% |
| Liam Gronda | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 15.4% | 27.8% |
| Mason Stang | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Connor Macken | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 11.2% |
| Connor Vogel | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 22.9% |
| Connor Rosow | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 3.2% |
| Clark Morris | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.