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📊 Prediction Accuracy
91.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.07+2.59vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.75+0.49vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.43+1.67vs Predicted
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4Clemson University1.34-0.87vs Predicted
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5Purdue University0.51-0.42vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-0.22+0.02vs Predicted
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7University of Saint Thomas-0.65-0.20vs Predicted
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8Grand Valley State University-1.75+0.89vs Predicted
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9Michigan Technological University-1.47-0.62vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University-1.50-1.60vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota-2.28-1.09vs Predicted
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12Hope College-3.33-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59University of Michigan1.070.2%1st Place
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2.49University of Wisconsin1.750.3%1st Place
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4.67University of Wisconsin0.430.1%1st Place
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3.13Clemson University1.340.2%1st Place
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4.58Purdue University0.510.1%1st Place
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6.02Marquette University-0.220.0%1st Place
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6.8University of Saint Thomas-0.650.0%1st Place
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8.89Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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8.38Michigan Technological University-1.470.0%1st Place
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8.4Michigan State University-1.500.0%1st Place
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9.91University of Minnesota-2.280.0%1st Place
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11.16Hope College-3.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Serpa | 15.8% | 17.9% | 16.3% | 18.5% | 15.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed Weston | 32.6% | 25.1% | 18.8% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 9.3% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 16.3% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Turner | 20.9% | 22.4% | 19.3% | 15.2% | 11.4% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Diehm | 9.8% | 9.4% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 17.0% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joaquin Lopez | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 12.8% | 16.9% | 16.8% | 15.0% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 13.3% | 17.1% | 17.5% | 13.0% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Carly Irwin | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 17.5% | 21.4% | 19.6% | 7.5% |
| Chance Spencer | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 20.3% | 18.6% | 13.6% | 2.9% |
| Brynna Smith | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 14.2% | 20.2% | 19.6% | 14.1% | 3.7% |
| John Cayen | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 17.5% | 32.7% | 19.3% |
| Cate Peerbolte | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 8.2% | 15.4% | 65.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.