← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Clemson University1.34+2.13vs Predicted
-
2University of Wisconsin1.75+0.49vs Predicted
-
3University of Michigan1.07+0.56vs Predicted
-
4University of Saint Thomas-0.65+2.86vs Predicted
-
5Marquette University-0.22+1.00vs Predicted
-
6University of Wisconsin0.43-1.28vs Predicted
-
7Purdue University0.51-2.52vs Predicted
-
8Michigan Technological University-1.47+0.41vs Predicted
-
9Grand Valley State University-1.75-0.13vs Predicted
-
10Michigan State University-1.50-1.57vs Predicted
-
11University of Minnesota-2.28-1.11vs Predicted
-
12Hope College-3.33-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.13Clemson University1.340.2%1st Place
-
2.49University of Wisconsin1.750.3%1st Place
-
3.56University of Michigan1.070.2%1st Place
-
6.86University of Saint Thomas-0.650.0%1st Place
-
6.0Marquette University-0.220.0%1st Place
-
4.72University of Wisconsin0.430.1%1st Place
-
4.48Purdue University0.510.1%1st Place
-
8.41Michigan Technological University-1.470.0%1st Place
-
8.87Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
-
8.43Michigan State University-1.500.0%1st Place
-
9.89University of Minnesota-2.280.0%1st Place
-
11.16Hope College-3.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Turner | 21.5% | 19.4% | 21.1% | 16.7% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed Weston | 31.0% | 28.5% | 18.0% | 11.5% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joe Serpa | 16.4% | 17.1% | 19.4% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 16.8% | 17.8% | 14.6% | 8.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Joaquin Lopez | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 17.1% | 14.2% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 15.5% | 15.9% | 16.8% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Diehm | 11.3% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 15.9% | 15.5% | 10.6% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chance Spencer | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 17.7% | 14.7% | 4.9% |
| Carly Irwin | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 17.5% | 22.4% | 19.3% | 5.7% |
| Brynna Smith | 1.2% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 9.7% | 14.9% | 18.9% | 20.5% | 14.3% | 3.9% |
| John Cayen | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 17.6% | 31.6% | 19.6% |
| Cate Peerbolte | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 16.6% | 65.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.