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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University1.34+2.16vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.43+2.80vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.75-0.46vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.07-0.40vs Predicted
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5Purdue University0.51-0.29vs Predicted
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6University of Saint Thomas-0.65+1.07vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-2.28+3.09vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-0.22-1.91vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University-1.50-0.20vs Predicted
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10Hope College-1.53-1.12vs Predicted
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11Michigan Technological University-1.47-2.09vs Predicted
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12Grand Valley State University-1.75-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16Clemson University1.340.2%1st Place
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4.8University of Wisconsin0.430.1%1st Place
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2.54University of Wisconsin1.750.3%1st Place
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3.6University of Michigan1.070.2%1st Place
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4.71Purdue University0.510.1%1st Place
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7.07University of Saint Thomas-0.650.0%1st Place
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10.09University of Minnesota-2.280.0%1st Place
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6.09Marquette University-0.220.1%1st Place
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8.8Michigan State University-1.500.0%1st Place
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8.88Hope College-1.530.0%1st Place
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8.91Michigan Technological University-1.470.0%1st Place
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9.36Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Turner | 20.7% | 22.4% | 17.4% | 17.0% | 11.3% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 7.2% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 16.3% | 16.6% | 12.2% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Reed Weston | 32.5% | 24.4% | 19.6% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joe Serpa | 15.8% | 18.1% | 18.4% | 15.6% | 14.7% | 9.4% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Diehm | 9.0% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 15.5% | 14.9% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 15.5% | 16.8% | 14.6% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 1.5% |
| John Cayen | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 14.6% | 18.0% | 38.6% |
| Joaquin Lopez | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 16.0% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 9.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Brynna Smith | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 19.2% | 16.8% | 11.3% |
| Jack Bergman | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 12.6% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 18.9% | 13.0% |
| Chance Spencer | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 16.9% | 17.0% | 16.0% | 14.7% |
| Carly Irwin | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 15.7% | 21.4% | 20.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.