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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.07+2.64vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.75+0.52vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.43+1.81vs Predicted
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4Purdue University0.51+0.65vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University-1.75+4.35vs Predicted
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6Clemson University1.34-2.87vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-0.22-0.93vs Predicted
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8University of Saint Thomas-0.65-0.97vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University-1.50-0.18vs Predicted
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10Michigan Technological University-1.47-1.30vs Predicted
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11Hope College-1.53-1.99vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota-2.28-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.64University of Michigan1.070.2%1st Place
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2.52University of Wisconsin1.750.3%1st Place
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4.81University of Wisconsin0.430.1%1st Place
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4.65Purdue University0.510.1%1st Place
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9.35Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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3.13Clemson University1.340.2%1st Place
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6.07Marquette University-0.220.1%1st Place
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7.03University of Saint Thomas-0.650.0%1st Place
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8.82Michigan State University-1.500.0%1st Place
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8.7Michigan Technological University-1.470.0%1st Place
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9.01Hope College-1.530.0%1st Place
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10.27University of Minnesota-2.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Serpa | 15.9% | 16.1% | 18.2% | 18.1% | 14.4% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed Weston | 32.0% | 26.8% | 17.7% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 9.5% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 16.1% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lukas Diehm | 7.7% | 10.6% | 14.9% | 16.9% | 13.7% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carly Irwin | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 22.0% | 20.3% |
| William Turner | 21.9% | 21.6% | 17.8% | 16.1% | 11.9% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joaquin Lopez | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 16.1% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Brynna Smith | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 19.0% | 16.2% | 11.0% |
| Chance Spencer | 1.0% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 13.3% | 16.9% | 16.7% | 16.1% | 11.4% |
| Jack Bergman | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 17.0% | 17.3% | 17.1% | 15.0% |
| John Cayen | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 15.5% | 20.5% | 39.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.