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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.75+1.53vs Predicted
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2Clemson University1.34+1.16vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.43+1.78vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.07-0.40vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-0.22+1.19vs Predicted
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6Purdue University0.51-1.34vs Predicted
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7University of Saint Thomas-0.65+0.02vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-1.47+0.74vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University-1.50-0.21vs Predicted
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10Hope College-1.53-1.17vs Predicted
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11Grand Valley State University-1.75-1.59vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota-2.28-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53University of Wisconsin1.750.3%1st Place
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3.16Clemson University1.340.2%1st Place
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4.78University of Wisconsin0.430.1%1st Place
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3.6University of Michigan1.070.2%1st Place
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6.19Marquette University-0.220.0%1st Place
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4.66Purdue University0.510.1%1st Place
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7.02University of Saint Thomas-0.650.0%1st Place
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8.74Michigan Technological University-1.470.0%1st Place
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8.79Michigan State University-1.500.0%1st Place
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8.83Hope College-1.530.0%1st Place
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9.41Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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10.29University of Minnesota-2.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed Weston | 31.2% | 26.0% | 20.4% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Turner | 20.3% | 22.8% | 18.4% | 15.8% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 9.8% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Joe Serpa | 15.5% | 17.9% | 17.8% | 17.1% | 15.1% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joaquin Lopez | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Lukas Diehm | 10.3% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 17.4% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Chance Spencer | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 15.7% | 16.8% | 18.4% | 11.0% |
| Brynna Smith | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 19.0% | 14.5% | 12.0% |
| Jack Bergman | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 16.6% | 16.0% | 18.0% | 12.5% |
| Carly Irwin | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 21.0% | 20.9% |
| John Cayen | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 20.4% | 40.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.