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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University1.34+2.19vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.75+0.51vs Predicted
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3Purdue University0.51+1.62vs Predicted
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4University of Saint Thomas-0.65+3.12vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.43-0.20vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan1.07-2.39vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-0.22-0.94vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-1.50+0.78vs Predicted
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9Hope College-1.53-0.15vs Predicted
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10University of Minnesota-2.28+0.22vs Predicted
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11Michigan Technological University-1.47-2.12vs Predicted
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12Grand Valley State University-1.75-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19Clemson University1.340.2%1st Place
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2.51University of Wisconsin1.750.3%1st Place
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4.62Purdue University0.510.1%1st Place
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7.12University of Saint Thomas-0.650.0%1st Place
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4.8University of Wisconsin0.430.1%1st Place
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3.61University of Michigan1.070.2%1st Place
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6.06Marquette University-0.220.0%1st Place
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8.78Michigan State University-1.500.0%1st Place
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8.85Hope College-1.530.0%1st Place
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10.22University of Minnesota-2.280.0%1st Place
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8.88Michigan Technological University-1.470.0%1st Place
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9.36Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Turner | 22.2% | 17.9% | 22.1% | 14.8% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed Weston | 31.6% | 27.2% | 17.6% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Diehm | 9.8% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 15.1% | 16.5% | 14.4% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 15.5% | 17.0% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 2.0% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 8.1% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joe Serpa | 15.9% | 19.1% | 16.9% | 16.1% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joaquin Lopez | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 14.7% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Brynna Smith | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 16.8% | 17.4% | 12.6% |
| Jack Bergman | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 15.5% | 17.2% | 19.7% | 10.1% |
| John Cayen | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 19.7% | 41.0% |
| Chance Spencer | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 19.8% | 14.1% | 14.4% |
| Carly Irwin | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 10.1% | 15.1% | 16.9% | 20.4% | 19.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.