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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.07+2.61vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.43+2.72vs Predicted
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3Clemson University1.34+0.10vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.75-1.54vs Predicted
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5Purdue University0.51-0.38vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-0.22+0.02vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-1.47+1.30vs Predicted
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8Grand Valley State University-1.75+0.89vs Predicted
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9University of Minnesota-2.28+0.77vs Predicted
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10University of Saint Thomas-0.65-3.17vs Predicted
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11Hope College-3.33+0.15vs Predicted
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12Michigan State University-1.50-3.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.61University of Michigan1.070.2%1st Place
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4.72University of Wisconsin0.430.1%1st Place
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3.1Clemson University1.340.2%1st Place
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2.46University of Wisconsin1.750.3%1st Place
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4.62Purdue University0.510.1%1st Place
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6.02Marquette University-0.220.0%1st Place
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8.3Michigan Technological University-1.470.0%1st Place
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8.89Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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9.77University of Minnesota-2.280.0%1st Place
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6.83University of Saint Thomas-0.650.0%1st Place
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11.15Hope College-3.330.0%1st Place
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8.53Michigan State University-1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Serpa | 15.9% | 17.6% | 14.4% | 20.9% | 14.8% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 7.5% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 17.7% | 15.7% | 12.5% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Turner | 23.1% | 19.9% | 19.7% | 15.4% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed Weston | 32.9% | 26.1% | 18.8% | 11.9% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Diehm | 8.9% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 16.3% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joaquin Lopez | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 16.1% | 18.6% | 14.9% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Chance Spencer | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 19.5% | 19.7% | 11.9% | 4.9% |
| Carly Irwin | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 20.9% | 21.6% | 7.2% |
| John Cayen | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 18.5% | 31.1% | 16.6% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 18.0% | 13.6% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Cate Peerbolte | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 16.3% | 66.0% |
| Brynna Smith | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 15.1% | 19.6% | 20.0% | 14.6% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.