← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin0.86+2.06vs Predicted
-
2University of Wisconsin1.11+0.65vs Predicted
-
3University of Michigan0.49+0.65vs Predicted
-
4Purdue University0.56-0.53vs Predicted
-
5University of Minnesota-1.32+2.22vs Predicted
-
6Clemson University-0.58-0.34vs Predicted
-
7Grand Valley State University-1.45+0.36vs Predicted
-
8Michigan State University-1.53-0.50vs Predicted
-
9Hope College-1.53-1.51vs Predicted
-
10University of Saint Thomas-1.95-1.68vs Predicted
-
11Marquette University-3.16-0.65vs Predicted
-
12Michigan Technological University-4.01-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.06University of Wisconsin0.860.2%1st Place
-
2.65University of Wisconsin1.110.3%1st Place
-
3.65University of Michigan0.490.2%1st Place
-
3.47Purdue University0.560.2%1st Place
-
7.22University of Minnesota-1.320.0%1st Place
-
5.66Clemson University-0.580.1%1st Place
-
7.36Grand Valley State University-1.450.0%1st Place
-
7.5Michigan State University-1.530.0%1st Place
-
7.49Hope College-1.530.0%1st Place
-
8.32University of Saint Thomas-1.950.0%1st Place
-
10.35Marquette University-3.160.0%1st Place
-
11.27Michigan Technological University-4.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Castellini | 22.4% | 19.5% | 21.1% | 18.2% | 10.0% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abe Weston | 29.0% | 25.3% | 18.8% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 16.9% | 14.7% | 17.0% | 17.8% | 16.1% | 9.9% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Odey Hariri | 16.2% | 20.4% | 17.5% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Sparber | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 13.2% | 5.1% | 0.9% |
| Samantha Bialek | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 16.9% | 16.3% | 11.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Reid Kwiatkowski | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 16.9% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 6.2% | 1.7% |
| Eva Rossell | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 18.7% | 13.8% | 7.6% | 1.0% |
| Jack Rutherford | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 16.8% | 16.7% | 15.6% | 5.7% | 0.4% |
| Conall Lynch | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 17.3% | 22.8% | 14.3% | 2.3% |
| Luqman Waheeduddin | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 11.9% | 40.8% | 26.8% |
| Fritz Jaeger | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 4.6% | 19.7% | 66.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.