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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.86+2.01vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.49+1.65vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.11-0.35vs Predicted
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4Purdue University0.56-0.48vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-0.58+0.71vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University-1.45+1.54vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-1.32+0.19vs Predicted
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8Hope College-1.53-0.38vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University-1.53-1.39vs Predicted
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10Michigan Technological University-3.01+0.30vs Predicted
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11University of Saint Thomas-1.95-2.38vs Predicted
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12Marquette University-3.16-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.01University of Wisconsin0.860.2%1st Place
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3.65University of Michigan0.490.1%1st Place
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2.65University of Wisconsin1.110.3%1st Place
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3.52Purdue University0.560.2%1st Place
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5.71Clemson University-0.580.1%1st Place
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7.54Grand Valley State University-1.450.0%1st Place
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7.19University of Minnesota-1.320.0%1st Place
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7.62Hope College-1.530.0%1st Place
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7.61Michigan State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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10.3Michigan Technological University-3.010.0%1st Place
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8.62University of Saint Thomas-1.950.0%1st Place
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10.59Marquette University-3.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Castellini | 23.3% | 20.3% | 20.1% | 17.9% | 10.0% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 14.6% | 18.5% | 17.6% | 16.4% | 14.2% | 10.4% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abe Weston | 30.1% | 24.1% | 18.2% | 13.3% | 8.9% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Odey Hariri | 15.9% | 18.5% | 18.4% | 17.3% | 14.7% | 8.8% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Bialek | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 17.3% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Reid Kwiatkowski | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 17.0% | 16.4% | 13.9% | 6.3% | 3.1% |
| Isaac Sparber | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 6.6% | 1.8% |
| Jack Rutherford | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 7.2% | 3.9% |
| Eva Rossell | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 11.6% | 15.6% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 9.1% | 1.5% |
| Emma Stahl | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 27.1% | 35.9% |
| Conall Lynch | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 19.4% | 16.9% | 8.4% |
| Luqman Waheeduddin | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 25.4% | 45.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.