← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin1.11+1.63vs Predicted
-
2University of Wisconsin0.86+1.01vs Predicted
-
3Purdue University0.56+0.45vs Predicted
-
4University of Michigan0.53-0.55vs Predicted
-
5University of Minnesota-1.32+1.95vs Predicted
-
6Clemson University-0.58-0.51vs Predicted
-
7Grand Valley State University-1.45+0.04vs Predicted
-
8Michigan State University-1.53-0.78vs Predicted
-
9University of Saint Thomas-1.95-1.02vs Predicted
-
10Marquette University-3.16+0.02vs Predicted
-
11Michigan Technological University-3.01-1.07vs Predicted
-
12Hope College-3.71-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.63University of Wisconsin1.110.3%1st Place
-
3.01University of Wisconsin0.860.2%1st Place
-
3.45Purdue University0.560.2%1st Place
-
3.45University of Michigan0.530.2%1st Place
-
6.95University of Minnesota-1.320.0%1st Place
-
5.49Clemson University-0.580.1%1st Place
-
7.04Grand Valley State University-1.450.0%1st Place
-
7.22Michigan State University-1.530.0%1st Place
-
7.98University of Saint Thomas-1.950.0%1st Place
-
10.02Marquette University-3.160.0%1st Place
-
9.93Michigan Technological University-3.010.0%1st Place
-
10.84Hope College-3.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abe Weston | 29.0% | 24.1% | 20.7% | 13.8% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Castellini | 22.8% | 22.5% | 17.8% | 17.2% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Odey Hariri | 17.9% | 16.6% | 17.6% | 18.4% | 16.0% | 8.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brody Schwartz | 16.4% | 18.3% | 18.9% | 19.1% | 13.6% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Sparber | 1.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 17.1% | 17.6% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Samantha Bialek | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 16.7% | 17.2% | 10.7% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Reid Kwiatkowski | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 17.6% | 17.1% | 16.6% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Eva Rossell | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 19.2% | 17.3% | 9.2% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Conall Lynch | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 5.0% | 9.6% | 14.5% | 16.5% | 20.2% | 17.0% | 8.2% | 1.7% |
| Luqman Waheeduddin | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 11.0% | 19.4% | 28.6% | 23.9% |
| Emma Stahl | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 24.2% | 25.6% | 22.0% |
| Laura Prince | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 10.7% | 25.3% | 49.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.