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📊 Prediction Accuracy
91.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.11+1.60vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.86+0.98vs Predicted
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3Purdue University0.56+0.45vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.53-0.55vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-0.58+0.50vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University-1.45+1.13vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-1.32-0.15vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-3.16+2.02vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University-1.53-1.78vs Predicted
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10University of Saint Thomas-1.95-1.96vs Predicted
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11Michigan Technological University-3.01-1.05vs Predicted
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12Hope College-3.71-1.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6University of Wisconsin1.110.3%1st Place
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2.98University of Wisconsin0.860.2%1st Place
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3.45Purdue University0.560.2%1st Place
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3.45University of Michigan0.530.2%1st Place
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5.5Clemson University-0.580.1%1st Place
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7.13Grand Valley State University-1.450.0%1st Place
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6.85University of Minnesota-1.320.0%1st Place
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10.02Marquette University-3.160.0%1st Place
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7.22Michigan State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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8.04University of Saint Thomas-1.950.0%1st Place
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9.95Michigan Technological University-3.010.0%1st Place
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10.82Hope College-3.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abe Weston | 28.9% | 25.2% | 20.1% | 14.4% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Castellini | 22.6% | 22.2% | 18.8% | 17.7% | 11.1% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Odey Hariri | 17.8% | 17.0% | 18.6% | 16.4% | 16.7% | 8.5% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brody Schwartz | 16.1% | 18.3% | 19.4% | 17.4% | 16.2% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Bialek | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 16.3% | 18.3% | 14.8% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Reid Kwiatkowski | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 16.0% | 19.4% | 17.2% | 9.7% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Isaac Sparber | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 18.0% | 16.8% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Luqman Waheeduddin | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 10.8% | 17.9% | 27.6% | 25.4% |
| Eva Rossell | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 15.6% | 17.4% | 17.6% | 16.6% | 10.8% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Conall Lynch | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 16.5% | 21.9% | 16.6% | 9.6% | 2.2% |
| Emma Stahl | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 21.3% | 29.8% | 20.6% |
| Laura Prince | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 11.8% | 22.7% | 50.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.