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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.11+1.67vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.49+1.61vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.86+0.04vs Predicted
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4Clemson University-0.58+1.69vs Predicted
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5Purdue University0.56-1.43vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University-1.45+1.55vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-3.16+3.43vs Predicted
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8Hope College-1.53-0.35vs Predicted
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9University of Saint Thomas-1.95-0.55vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University-1.53-2.37vs Predicted
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11Michigan Technological University-3.01-0.56vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota-1.32-4.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67University of Wisconsin1.110.3%1st Place
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3.61University of Michigan0.490.2%1st Place
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3.04University of Wisconsin0.860.2%1st Place
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5.69Clemson University-0.580.0%1st Place
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3.57Purdue University0.560.2%1st Place
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7.55Grand Valley State University-1.450.0%1st Place
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10.43Marquette University-3.160.0%1st Place
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7.65Hope College-1.530.0%1st Place
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8.45University of Saint Thomas-1.950.0%1st Place
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7.63Michigan State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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10.44Michigan Technological University-3.010.0%1st Place
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7.27University of Minnesota-1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abe Weston | 29.5% | 22.1% | 21.2% | 14.1% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 15.1% | 17.0% | 17.6% | 19.4% | 14.5% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Castellini | 22.7% | 21.6% | 18.6% | 16.4% | 11.7% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Bialek | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 15.9% | 18.0% | 15.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Odey Hariri | 16.8% | 18.1% | 16.8% | 17.6% | 14.1% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Kwiatkowski | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 16.1% | 15.9% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 2.5% |
| Luqman Waheeduddin | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 24.6% | 42.4% |
| Jack Rutherford | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 9.7% | 2.9% |
| Conall Lynch | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 16.5% | 20.5% | 13.7% | 6.1% |
| Eva Rossell | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 16.7% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 8.7% | 3.5% |
| Emma Stahl | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 11.4% | 27.1% | 40.7% |
| Isaac Sparber | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 16.3% | 15.1% | 12.3% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.