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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.11+1.63vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.86+1.05vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.49+0.64vs Predicted
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4Purdue University0.56-0.50vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-0.58+0.74vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-3.16+4.60vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-1.45+0.43vs Predicted
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8Hope College-1.53-0.37vs Predicted
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9University of Minnesota-1.32-1.85vs Predicted
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10University of Saint Thomas-1.95-1.53vs Predicted
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11Michigan State University-1.53-3.20vs Predicted
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12Michigan Technological University-3.01-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.63University of Wisconsin1.110.3%1st Place
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3.05University of Wisconsin0.860.2%1st Place
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3.64University of Michigan0.490.2%1st Place
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3.5Purdue University0.560.2%1st Place
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5.74Clemson University-0.580.1%1st Place
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10.6Marquette University-3.160.0%1st Place
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7.43Grand Valley State University-1.450.0%1st Place
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7.63Hope College-1.530.0%1st Place
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7.15University of Minnesota-1.320.0%1st Place
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8.47University of Saint Thomas-1.950.0%1st Place
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7.8Michigan State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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10.37Michigan Technological University-3.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abe Weston | 28.8% | 25.8% | 19.4% | 12.9% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Castellini | 21.9% | 22.2% | 19.2% | 16.8% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 16.1% | 15.3% | 19.1% | 15.0% | 17.3% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Odey Hariri | 16.9% | 18.2% | 17.5% | 18.7% | 13.3% | 9.2% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Bialek | 5.8% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 16.3% | 15.4% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Luqman Waheeduddin | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 10.5% | 22.5% | 47.8% |
| Reid Kwiatkowski | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 16.9% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 2.2% |
| Jack Rutherford | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 18.0% | 13.9% | 8.3% | 2.7% |
| Isaac Sparber | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 18.9% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 5.6% | 0.9% |
| Conall Lynch | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 20.0% | 16.7% | 6.1% |
| Eva Rossell | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 9.4% | 3.1% |
| Emma Stahl | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 13.5% | 27.8% | 36.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.