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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.11+1.67vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.86+1.06vs Predicted
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3Purdue University0.56+0.54vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.49-0.37vs Predicted
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5Hope College-1.53+2.72vs Predicted
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6Clemson University-0.58-0.31vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-1.32+0.17vs Predicted
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8Grand Valley State University-1.45-0.52vs Predicted
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9University of Saint Thomas-1.95-0.56vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University-1.53-2.36vs Predicted
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11Michigan Technological University-3.01-0.62vs Predicted
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12Marquette University-3.16-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67University of Wisconsin1.110.3%1st Place
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3.06University of Wisconsin0.860.2%1st Place
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3.54Purdue University0.560.2%1st Place
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3.63University of Michigan0.490.1%1st Place
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7.72Hope College-1.530.0%1st Place
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5.69Clemson University-0.580.1%1st Place
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7.17University of Minnesota-1.320.0%1st Place
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7.48Grand Valley State University-1.450.0%1st Place
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8.44University of Saint Thomas-1.950.0%1st Place
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7.64Michigan State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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10.38Michigan Technological University-3.010.0%1st Place
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10.59Marquette University-3.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abe Weston | 28.7% | 23.7% | 20.6% | 13.7% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Castellini | 22.8% | 21.2% | 18.0% | 17.0% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Odey Hariri | 18.3% | 16.1% | 16.4% | 18.1% | 14.6% | 9.6% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 14.7% | 18.4% | 17.4% | 17.6% | 15.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Rutherford | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 9.8% | 2.8% |
| Samantha Bialek | 5.4% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Sparber | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 17.1% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| Reid Kwiatkowski | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 17.1% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 2.7% |
| Conall Lynch | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 15.6% | 20.8% | 14.3% | 5.4% |
| Eva Rossell | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 16.8% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 3.1% |
| Emma Stahl | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 28.2% | 37.6% |
| Luqman Waheeduddin | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 11.4% | 23.7% | 46.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.