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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.57+9.00vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+5.66vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.75+6.27vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.50+5.93vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.42+1.28vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.23+1.06vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+2.32vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.75+0.91vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University1.06+6.20vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.62-0.10vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-1.18vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.82-2.81vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.12-1.53vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.23-7.14vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.11-3.34vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.22-4.64vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.65-7.37vs Predicted
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18Boston College3.07-10.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.0Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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7.66Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.27Yale University2.750.0%1st Place
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9.93Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.28Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.06Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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8.91Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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15.2Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
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9.9Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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9.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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9.19Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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11.47Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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6.86University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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11.66University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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11.36Brown University2.220.0%1st Place
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9.63Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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7.47Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Mowry | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Carmen Cowles | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.6% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 11.2% | 49.0% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.5% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% |
| Will Priebe | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.0% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 8.5% |
| Jed Bell | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 7.9% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 2.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.