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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+8.53vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.82+7.00vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.75+6.31vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.23+3.00vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.12+2.44vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.62+3.62vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.07+0.63vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.57+1.67vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.65+0.47vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-0.07vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.23-3.83vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.22-0.37vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.50-3.12vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.42-7.92vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.11-3.35vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.75-6.90vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.12-5.21vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University1.06-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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9.0Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.31Yale University2.750.0%1st Place
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7.0Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.44Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.62Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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7.63Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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9.67Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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9.47Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
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9.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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7.17University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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11.63Brown University2.220.0%1st Place
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9.88Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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6.08Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.65University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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9.1Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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11.79Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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15.09Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bruce | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.7% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Carmen Cowles | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 3.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% |
| Jed Bell | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 8.5% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.1% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 9.7% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Will Priebe | 3.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 9.6% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 15.1% | 44.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.