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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.62+8.80vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+7.57vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.42+3.46vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University1.06+11.02vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.57+4.69vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.23+1.06vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.65+2.51vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.82+0.68vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.12-1.53vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.23-2.64vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.07-3.17vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.22-0.31vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.75-4.09vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.12-2.61vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-5.41vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.11-4.13vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.50-6.69vs Predicted
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18Yale University2.75-9.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.8Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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9.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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6.46Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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15.02Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
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9.69Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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7.06Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.51Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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8.68Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.47Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.36University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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7.83Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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11.69Brown University2.220.0%1st Place
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8.91Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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11.39Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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9.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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11.87University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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10.31Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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8.8Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Davis | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.6% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 12.4% | 46.7% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 1.8% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Jed Bell | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 10.4% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Will Priebe | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 8.6% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 14.6% | 9.4% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.