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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+8.91vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.75+7.28vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.57+7.06vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.07+3.57vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.12+2.44vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.23+1.08vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.65+2.46vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.50+2.03vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+0.29vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.23-2.72vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.22+0.44vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.62-2.02vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.75-4.15vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University1.06+1.00vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.82-6.33vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.11-4.25vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.42-10.56vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.12-6.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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9.28Yale University2.750.0%1st Place
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10.06Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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7.57Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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7.44Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.08University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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9.46Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
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10.03Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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9.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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7.28Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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11.44Brown University2.220.0%1st Place
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9.98Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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8.85Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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15.0Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
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8.67Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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11.75University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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6.44Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.46Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Unangst | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.3% |
| Carmen Cowles | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 1.9% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 3.8% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Jed Bell | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.1% |
| Trevor Davis | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.4% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 13.5% | 45.8% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 9.2% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.5% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Will Priebe | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.