← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island3.23+6.34vs Predicted
-
2Yale University2.75+7.31vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College2.65+6.75vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+5.58vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+4.26vs Predicted
-
6Brown University3.42+0.28vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University2.75+1.99vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College3.23-1.05vs Predicted
-
9Connecticut College2.82-0.36vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University2.50+0.33vs Predicted
-
11Yale University3.12-3.37vs Predicted
-
12Boston College3.07-3.95vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University2.62-3.50vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University2.12-2.64vs Predicted
-
15Brown University2.22-3.73vs Predicted
-
16Fairfield University1.06-0.69vs Predicted
-
17University of Vermont2.11-5.14vs Predicted
-
18Boston University2.57-8.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.34University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
-
9.31Yale University2.750.0%1st Place
-
9.75Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
-
9.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
-
9.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
-
6.28Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
-
8.99Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
-
6.95Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
-
8.64Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
-
10.33Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
-
7.63Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
-
8.05Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
-
9.5Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
-
11.36Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
-
11.27Brown University2.220.0%1st Place
-
15.31Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
-
11.86University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
-
9.6Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Carmen Cowles | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 1.7% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 2.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 3.7% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 2.8% |
| Will Priebe | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.6% |
| Jed Bell | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 7.3% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 0.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 49.8% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 10.8% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.