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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+6.68vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.75+7.20vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.75+6.26vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.42+2.28vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.50+4.99vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.57+3.85vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+2.63vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.07-0.39vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.11+2.75vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.23-2.70vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-1.55vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.12-0.01vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.82-4.39vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.23-7.17vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.22-3.80vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.65-6.47vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.62-7.28vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University1.06-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.68Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.2Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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9.26Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.28Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.99Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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9.85Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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9.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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7.61Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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11.75University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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7.3Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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11.99Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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8.61Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.83University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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11.2Brown University2.220.0%1st Place
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9.53Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
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9.72Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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15.12Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 6.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.5% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 3.2% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.8% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 7.4% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% |
| Will Priebe | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 12.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.1% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Jed Bell | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 6.9% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 46.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.