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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.07+6.77vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.75+7.21vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.23+4.14vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.42+2.17vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.82+3.61vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.50+4.02vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.65+2.35vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.22+3.07vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.62+0.46vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.12-2.32vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.75-1.96vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-0.28vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.12-1.63vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-5.02vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.57-5.37vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University1.06-0.79vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.11-5.24vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island3.23-11.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.77Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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9.21Yale University2.750.0%1st Place
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7.14Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.17Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.61Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.02Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.35Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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11.07Brown University2.220.0%1st Place
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9.46Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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7.68Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.04Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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11.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.0%1st Place
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11.37Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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8.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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9.63Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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15.21Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
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11.76University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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6.8University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.0% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Jed Bell | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 6.0% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 9.2% |
| Will Priebe | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 7.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 14.4% | 45.9% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 9.9% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.6% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.