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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.23+6.19vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.42+4.40vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.57+6.93vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.75+4.80vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+4.15vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.22+5.16vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.62+2.50vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.50+1.97vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+2.42vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.12-2.37vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.82-2.21vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.23-4.65vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.07-5.54vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.11-2.79vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.65-5.73vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.12-4.31vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.75-7.95vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University1.06-2.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.19Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.4Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.93Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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8.8Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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11.16Brown University2.220.0%1st Place
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9.5Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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9.97Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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11.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.0%1st Place
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7.63Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.79Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.35University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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7.46Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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11.21University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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9.27Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
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11.69Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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9.05Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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15.06Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 2.6% |
| Carmen Cowles | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.7% |
| Jed Bell | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.7% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 3.2% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 6.9% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 8.1% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Will Priebe | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 9.2% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 5.5% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 45.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.