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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.45+8.41vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.43+3.64vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.40+2.83vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.29+1.94vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.98+6.02vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+1.98vs Predicted
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72.64+1.48vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.04+2.79vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University0.69+6.32vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.07+1.01vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.45-1.62vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.07-0.86vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.45-3.93vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.41-4.86vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.00-7.95vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.03-8.97vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.32-3.40vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.37-4.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.41Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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5.64Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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5.83Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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5.94Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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11.02Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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7.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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8.482.640.1%1st Place
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10.79Boston College2.040.0%1st Place
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15.32Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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11.01Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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9.38Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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11.14University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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9.07Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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9.14Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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7.05Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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7.03Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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13.6University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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13.17Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Mckenna | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.1% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 10.3% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephan Baker | 12.5% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 5.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Dana Haig | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Libby Redmond | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.7% |
| Nolan Cooper | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 14.5% | 43.4% |
| Micky Munns | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 4.2% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Miles Williams | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% |
| Sam Bonauto | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Caroline Bayless | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 17.8% | 18.5% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 16.6% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.