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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.43+4.71vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.29+4.18vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.41+6.72vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.45+5.17vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.45+4.15vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.40-0.35vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.00+0.08vs Predicted
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82.64+0.38vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.04+1.91vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University0.69+5.46vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-2.87vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.98-0.55vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.32+0.35vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.37-0.96vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.45-5.85vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.03-9.01vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.07-6.09vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.07-7.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.71Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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6.18Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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9.72Brown University2.410.0%1st Place
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9.17Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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9.15Bowdoin College2.450.0%1st Place
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5.65Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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7.08Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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8.382.640.1%1st Place
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10.91Boston College2.040.0%1st Place
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15.46Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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8.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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11.45Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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13.35University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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13.04Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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9.15Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.99Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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10.91University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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10.55Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 12.3% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Stephan Baker | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Bayless | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 1.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Sam Bonauto | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.2% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Dana Haig | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Libby Redmond | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 3.1% |
| Nolan Cooper | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 14.8% | 46.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Chloe Holder | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 6.3% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 16.8% | 16.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 17.4% | 14.8% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Miles Williams | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 3.2% |
| Micky Munns | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.