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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.43+4.69vs Predicted
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22.64+6.70vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.04+8.16vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.40+1.56vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.03+1.91vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.98+5.12vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.45+2.25vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.45+1.16vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.41+0.35vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-1.81vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.29-4.92vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.00-4.58vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.32+0.30vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.07-3.55vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.45-5.83vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.37-2.60vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.07-6.12vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University0.69-2.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.69Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.72.640.0%1st Place
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11.16Boston College2.040.0%1st Place
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5.56Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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6.91Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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11.12Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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9.25Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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9.16Bowdoin College2.450.0%1st Place
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9.35Brown University2.410.0%1st Place
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8.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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6.08Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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7.42Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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13.3University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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10.45Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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9.17Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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13.4Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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10.88University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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15.2Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 11.7% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dana Haig | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Libby Redmond | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 3.8% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.2% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Chloe Holder | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.8% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Sam Bonauto | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Caroline Bayless | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Stephan Baker | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 13.6% | 16.5% | 16.9% |
| Micky Munns | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 15.7% | 16.7% |
| Miles Williams | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 17.6% | 41.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.