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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+7.24vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.43+3.62vs Predicted
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32.64+5.70vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.45+5.09vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.45+4.14vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.07+4.73vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.98+4.10vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.40-2.44vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.41+0.35vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.00-2.70vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.45-1.60vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.29-5.65vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.03-6.18vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.04-3.42vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.37-1.68vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.07-5.15vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.32-3.35vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University0.69-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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5.62Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.72.640.1%1st Place
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9.09Bowdoin College2.450.0%1st Place
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9.14Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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10.73University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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11.1Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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5.56Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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9.35Brown University2.410.0%1st Place
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7.3Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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9.4Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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6.35Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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6.82Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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10.58Boston College2.040.0%1st Place
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13.32Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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10.85Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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13.65University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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15.18Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 11.3% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Dana Haig | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Sam Bonauto | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Miles Williams | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 4.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 4.6% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.6% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Bayless | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Stephan Baker | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Libby Redmond | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 13.0% | 17.1% | 15.4% |
| Micky Munns | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 4.5% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 18.9% | 18.4% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 15.8% | 40.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.