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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.45+8.40vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+6.62vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.43+2.70vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+3.92vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.41+4.35vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.45+3.23vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.40-1.40vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.00-1.00vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.37+4.34vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.98+1.31vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.45-1.63vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.04-0.76vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.03-6.15vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.07-3.52vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University0.69+0.31vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.29-9.94vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.07-6.13vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont1.32-4.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.4Bowdoin College2.450.0%1st Place
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8.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.0%1st Place
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5.7Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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9.35Brown University2.410.0%1st Place
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9.23Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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5.6Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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7.0Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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13.34Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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11.31Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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9.37Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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11.24Boston College2.040.0%1st Place
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6.85Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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10.48Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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15.31Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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6.06Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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10.87University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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13.33University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bonauto | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Dana Haig | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 11.1% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Caroline Bayless | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.5% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 16.8% | 15.6% |
| Chloe Holder | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 5.1% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Libby Redmond | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 4.9% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Micky Munns | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.8% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 15.9% | 42.5% |
| Stephan Baker | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Miles Williams | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 4.2% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 16.3% | 16.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.