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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+7.19vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.43+3.66vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.45+6.50vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.04+6.72vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.03+1.96vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+2.50vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.45+2.20vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.69+7.19vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.00-1.97vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.41-0.33vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.07-0.14vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.37+1.63vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.07-2.34vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.45-5.01vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.29-9.08vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.98-4.84vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.40-11.22vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont1.32-4.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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5.66Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.5Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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10.72Boston College2.040.0%1st Place
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6.96Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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8.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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9.2Bowdoin College2.450.0%1st Place
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15.19Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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7.03Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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9.67Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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10.86University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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13.63Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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10.66Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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8.99Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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5.92Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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11.16Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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5.78Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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13.37University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.4% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Libby Redmond | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 3.7% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Dana Haig | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Sam Bonauto | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 16.4% | 41.7% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Caroline Bayless | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 1.0% |
| Miles Williams | 4.0% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 4.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 12.0% | 17.2% | 19.2% |
| Micky Munns | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 3.7% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
| Stephan Baker | 11.1% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Chloe Holder | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 5.4% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.7% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 18.1% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.