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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+7.25vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.40+3.76vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.07+8.04vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.29+1.95vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+3.35vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.43-0.46vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.45+2.22vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.03-1.12vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.00-1.99vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.45-0.53vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.07-0.17vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.45-2.41vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.32+0.31vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.98-3.14vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University0.69+0.29vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.04-5.10vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.37-3.48vs Predicted
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18Brown University2.41-8.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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5.76Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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11.04Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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5.95Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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5.54Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.22Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.88Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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7.01Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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9.47Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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10.83University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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9.59Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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13.31University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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10.86Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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15.29Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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10.9Boston College2.040.0%1st Place
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13.52Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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9.21Brown University2.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 3.7% |
| Stephan Baker | 11.4% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Dana Haig | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 12.7% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.3% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Miles Williams | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 11.9% | 18.2% | 16.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 4.4% |
| Nolan Cooper | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 43.2% |
| Libby Redmond | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 3.7% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.9% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 12.8% | 17.1% | 18.1% |
| Caroline Bayless | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.