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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.45+8.40vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.43+3.63vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.45+6.54vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.03+2.87vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.40+0.61vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.07+4.74vs Predicted
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72.64+1.48vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.29-2.10vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-1.09vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.45-0.50vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.00-3.78vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.32+1.78vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.37+0.15vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.41-4.89vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.07-4.25vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.98-4.79vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.04-5.96vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University0.69-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.4Bowdoin College2.450.0%1st Place
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5.63Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.54Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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6.87Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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5.61Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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10.74University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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8.482.640.1%1st Place
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5.9Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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7.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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9.5Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.22Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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13.78University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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13.15Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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9.11Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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10.75Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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11.21Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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11.04Boston College2.040.0%1st Place
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15.17Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bonauto | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.7% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Miles Williams | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 3.9% |
| Dana Haig | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Stephan Baker | 11.3% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.6% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 17.1% | 21.3% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 17.1% | 15.2% |
| Caroline Bayless | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% |
| Micky Munns | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% |
| Chloe Holder | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 4.3% |
| Libby Redmond | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 4.3% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 17.3% | 39.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.