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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.03+6.14vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.45+7.37vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.40+2.73vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.00+2.94vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.43+0.50vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.07+4.77vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.45+2.19vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.29-2.10vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.45+0.12vs Predicted
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102.64-1.30vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.98+0.18vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-3.19vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.41-3.76vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.07-3.58vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.32-1.57vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University0.69-0.59vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.37-3.52vs Predicted
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18Boston College2.04-7.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.14Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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9.37Bowdoin College2.450.0%1st Place
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5.73Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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6.94Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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5.5Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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10.77Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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9.19Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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5.9Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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9.12Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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8.72.640.1%1st Place
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11.18Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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8.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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9.24Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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10.42University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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13.43University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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15.41Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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13.48Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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10.67Boston College2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Callahan | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 11.1% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 13.5% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 3.9% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Stephan Baker | 11.0% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Dana Haig | 6.6% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Chloe Holder | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 4.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Caroline Bayless | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Miles Williams | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 17.2% | 16.9% |
| Nolan Cooper | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 9.9% | 15.9% | 44.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 16.4% | 18.2% |
| Libby Redmond | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.