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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.45+8.42vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+6.73vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.07+7.98vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.43+1.44vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.00+2.01vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.45+3.22vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.45+2.15vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.41+1.29vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.40-3.48vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.03-2.86vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.07-0.11vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.29-5.72vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.04-2.31vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.37-0.94vs Predicted
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152.64-6.61vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.32-2.46vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University0.69-1.64vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.98-7.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.42Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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8.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.0%1st Place
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10.98Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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5.44Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.01Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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9.22Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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9.15Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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9.29Brown University2.410.0%1st Place
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5.52Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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7.14Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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10.89University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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6.28Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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10.69Boston College2.040.0%1st Place
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13.06Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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8.392.640.1%1st Place
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13.54University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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15.36Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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10.89Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Hurwitz | 4.8% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Micky Munns | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 3.5% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 13.0% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.8% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Sam Bonauto | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Caroline Bayless | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.3% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 9.1% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Miles Williams | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 4.1% |
| Stephan Baker | 10.9% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Libby Redmond | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 2.9% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 16.2% | 15.1% |
| Dana Haig | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 18.9% |
| Nolan Cooper | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 9.8% | 15.3% | 44.8% |
| Chloe Holder | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.