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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.03+6.17vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.00+5.18vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.07+8.01vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.98+6.96vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.45+4.11vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.290.00vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.04+3.86vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.40-2.50vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.45+0.16vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.43-4.33vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.07-0.13vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-3.18vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.32+0.32vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.37-1.01vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.45-5.87vs Predicted
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162.64-7.52vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.41-7.46vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University0.69-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.17Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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7.18Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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11.01Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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10.96Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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9.11Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.0Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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10.86Boston College2.040.0%1st Place
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5.5Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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9.16Bowdoin College2.450.0%1st Place
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5.67Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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10.87University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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8.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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13.32University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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12.99Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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9.13Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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8.482.640.0%1st Place
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9.54Brown University2.410.0%1st Place
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15.22Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Callahan | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Micky Munns | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.5% |
| Chloe Holder | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 5.2% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Stephan Baker | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Libby Redmond | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.9% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 13.6% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles Williams | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 4.3% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 17.3% | 16.8% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 12.5% | 16.2% | 14.7% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Dana Haig | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% |
| Caroline Bayless | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 15.9% | 42.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.