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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.25+4.62vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+3.46vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+4.60vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.51+4.48vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.67-0.55vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65+2.12vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.77+4.16vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.13+1.72vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.10-2.57vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.27-0.73vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.65-2.87vs Predicted
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12Harvard University0.03+1.56vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.55-4.58vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.49-5.31vs Predicted
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15Harvard University0.10-1.71vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.72-4.59vs Predicted
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17Boston University0.16-3.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.62Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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5.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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7.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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8.48Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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4.45Boston College2.670.2%1st Place
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8.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.1%1st Place
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11.16Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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9.72Tufts University1.130.0%1st Place
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6.43Boston College2.100.1%1st Place
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9.27Tufts University1.270.0%1st Place
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8.13Bowdoin College1.650.1%1st Place
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13.56Harvard University0.030.0%1st Place
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8.42Bowdoin College1.550.1%1st Place
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8.69Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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13.29Harvard University0.100.0%1st Place
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11.41Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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13.19Boston University0.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Redmond | 12.7% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maks Groom | 11.9% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Peter Joslin | 18.6% | 16.5% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Abate | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 3.4% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 6.4% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% |
| Nick Budington | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Marina Garrido | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Alexander Lee | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 19.3% | 27.6% |
| Jonathan Chance | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 13.8% | 16.3% | 25.7% |
| William Wiegand | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 7.8% |
| Richard Kalich | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 19.7% | 21.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.